Latest status of the election race between Trump and Harris

Trump and Harris are closing the gap in key and competitive states. According to polls[1], Trump has managed to close the gap with Harris in the two Democratic states of Wisconsin and Michigan. In Michigan, Trump is 47 to 48 behind Harris. In Wisconsin, Harris is 49 to 47 ahead. In Pennsylvania, Harris is 51 to 46 ahead.[2] However, in the Marist poll, Trump is 1 percentage point ahead.[3] In Arizona and Georgia, Trump and Harris are neck and neck.[4] However, in the Sinai-Times poll, Harris is 49 to 45 ahead of Trump.[5] The situation in Nevada is uncertain, with Bloomberg showing Harris ahead by 7 percentage points, but Emerson showing the two rivals tied at 50 percent. In North Carolina, according to Bloomberg, Harris is ahead by 50 to 48, but according to CNN[6], the two rivals are tied. Harris is also ahead by about 2 percentage points in national polls.[7] Harris is more popular among women, people of color, and young voters. Harris is now 84 percent popular among blacks.[8] Harris’s growing trust in the economy Trump’s lead on the economy is waning, given that Americans previously believed Trump was better at handling the economy. Several factors point to this shift in Harris’ favor. Polls show that the gap between Harris and Trump on the issue is narrowing. The U.S. stock market is surging. Gas prices are also falling, and the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates for the first time in four years. Trump’s lead on the economy has already narrowed in the three battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump used to be about 11 percentage points ahead of Harris on the economy, but the gap between the two candidates is now between 2 and 4 percentage points. Harris is spending millions of dollars on economic and middle-class campaigns. Harris has promised to fight price gouging, lower housing costs, and provide tax breaks for the middle class. Harris is trying to appeal to working-class Americans, who could decide the outcome of the election. Harris is trying to portray Trump as a favorite of billionaires and capitalize on his middle-class background.[1] Harris’ focus on illegal immigration in Trump race Harris accused Trump of playing politics on immigration. She traveled to the sensitive state of Arizona and promised to reform the immigration system and increase border control. Harris criticized Republicans for blocking the passage of an immigration plan under pressure from Trump. The issue of illegal immigration is very important to the people of Arizona. Trump is currently doing well in Arizona and is even ahead of Harris in some polls. The difference in votes in Arizona in 2020 was about 10,000 votes.[2] Trump’s popularity in competitive states on specific international issues Voters in competitive states believe that Trump can do a better job than Harris in ending the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, or in responding to China’s invasion of Taiwan, and in defending American interests internationally. On the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, Trump leads 58 to 42, and on immigration, he leads 56 to 44. So competitive states have more confidence in Trump on foreign policy and immigration, especially since Trump is on the surface a proponent of an isolationist foreign policy. But ultimately, foreign policy is not a top priority for American voters.[3] [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/26/us/politics/trump-harris-economy.html [2] https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/27/harris-immigration-border-visit [3] https://www.axios.com/2024/09/24/trump-harris-foreign-policy-poll [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/28/us/politics/harris-trump-poll-michigan-wisconsin.html [2] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-09-26/harris-holds-thin-lead-over-trump-in-swing-state-poll-election-2024?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&utm_source=twitter&cmpid=socialflow-twitter-business&utm_content=business [3] https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/marist-pennsylvania-poll-u-s-presidential-contest-pennsylvania-september-2024/ [4] https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/u-s-presidential-contest-arizona-september-2024/ [5] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html [6] https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/27/politics/cnn-poll-harris-trump-north-carolina-nebraska/index.html [7] https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris [8] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/17/us/elections/kamala-harris-trump-az-nc-ga-nv.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb